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Shoshone Lake Backcountry permit

Shoshone Lake Cancellations: Drop History

Our scanner has recorded 27 availability changes for Shoshone Lake. Here's when they actually happened.

PermitCast forecast

Odds of an opening for Shoshone Lake

Your chance of an opening in the window ahead, based on how often this permit has opened before.

Next 7 days

Moderate chance

25–35% chance

Next 14 days

Moderate chance

40–50% chance

We check this permit about every 3 hours. Openings that close faster than that can slip between checks, so the true chance may be higher.

Based on 6 weeks of our scan history. Forecast last updated Oct 27, 2026.

Changes by month

Every month is a real count of scanner-detected availability changes for Shoshone Lake, not an estimate.

MonthChanges detected
April 20260
May 20260
June 20260
July 20260
August 20260
September 20264
October 2026so far this month23

Last scanned Oct 27, 8:01 PM PDT. Counts respect our availability-change epoch (2026-07-03): earlier scanner history isn't comparable and is excluded.

Best times to check

This grid plots every opening the scanner catches for Shoshone Lake by day of week and time of day, so you can see when the cancellations actually land. It draws at 140 recorded openings across its 28 squares. Under that, the darkest square is chance rather than a pattern. Set an alert and every opening counts toward it.

Shoshone Lake drop report questions

How often does Shoshone Lake availability actually move?

Our scanner has recorded 27 availability changes for Shoshone Lake since it started tracking, broken down by month above. A change is any shift in the open-date set, so it counts dates closing as well as dates opening.

When is the best time to check for Shoshone Lake cancellations?

Set an alert and every opening the scanner catches for Shoshone Lake counts toward the grid above. It draws once there are at least 140 recorded openings spread across its 28 squares, so the darkest square points at a real pattern rather than at chance.

How fast will I find out if a Shoshone Lake date opens up?

Paid plans are scanned every minute and we tell you within seconds. Free accounts are scanned hourly. Either way, PermitSnag catches the change, so you don't have to refresh the page yourself.