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Elephant Canyon permit

Elephant Canyon Cancellations: Drop History

Our scanner has recorded 96 availability changes for Elephant Canyon. Here's when they actually happened.

PermitCast forecast

Odds of an opening for Elephant Canyon

The odds that our scanner catches at least one availability opening for this permit in the window ahead — based on how often it actually has, not a guess.

Next 7 days

Good chance

55–65% chance

Next 14 days

Good chance

65–75% chance

Next 30 days

Good chance

70–80% chance

Based on 7 weeks of our scan history. Forecast last updated Sep 9, 2026.

Changes by month

Every month is a real count of scanner-detected availability changes for Elephant Canyon — not an estimate.

MonthChanges detected
March 20260
April 20260
May 20260
June 20260
July 202614
August 202667
September 2026so far this month15

Last scanned Sep 9, 1:14 PM PDT. Counts respect our availability-change epoch (2026-07-03) — earlier scanner history isn't comparable and is excluded.

Best times to watch

This grid plots every opening the scanner catches for Elephant Canyon by day of week and time of day, so you can see when the cancellations actually land. It draws at 140 recorded openings across its 28 squares — under that, the darkest square is chance rather than a pattern. Start a watch and every opening counts toward it.

Elephant Canyon drop report questions

How often does Elephant Canyon availability actually move?

Our scanner has recorded 96 availability changes for Elephant Canyon since it started tracking, broken down by month above. A change is any shift in the open-date set, so it counts dates closing as well as dates opening.

When is the best time to check for Elephant Canyon cancellations?

Start a watch and every opening the scanner catches for Elephant Canyon counts toward the grid above. It draws once there are at least 140 recorded openings spread across its 28 squares, so the darkest square points at a real pattern rather than at chance.

How fast will I find out if a Elephant Canyon date opens up?

Paid plans are scanned about every minute with alerts within seconds. Free accounts are scanned hourly. Either way, PermitSnag catches the change — you don't have to refresh the page yourself.