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Wooden Shoe Canyon Forecast: Odds of an Opening

Your odds of catching a Wooden Shoe Canyon availability opening in the window ahead: a band grounded in 14 weeks of our own scan history, not a guess.

PermitCast forecast

Odds of an opening for Wooden Shoe Canyon

Your chance of an opening in the window ahead, based on how often this permit has opened before.

Next 7 days

Moderate chance

50–60% chance

Next 14 days

Good chance

65–75% chance

Next 30 days

Good chance

60–70% chance

We check this permit about every minute.

Based on 14 weeks of our scan history. Forecast last updated Nov 5, 2026.

Wooden Shoe Canyon forecast questions

What are the odds of catching a Wooden Shoe Canyon opening?

Right now our forecast puts the next 30 days at a good chance of catching at least one availability opening for Wooden Shoe Canyon, based on 14 weeks of our own scan history. It's a band. See how we calculate it on the methodology page.

How is the Wooden Shoe Canyon forecast calculated?

We split our scan history into non-overlapping windows and measure how often at least one opening was actually detected, then shrink that rate toward a pooled prior so a short history can't overstate its confidence. Every number comes from real scan history. Full math on /forecasts.

Is this a guarantee that Wooden Shoe Canyon will open up?

No. It's a banded probability from historical scan data, not a prediction of a specific date and not a guarantee. Set an alert and we'll tell you the moment a real opening is detected.