Angels Landing Lottery Odds
Angels Landing is the friendliest big-name lottery: NPS puts the overall odds across the pilot program's first two years at about 50%. The spread is enormous, from 8% on Memorial Day Weekend Sunday to 100% on random mid-week days.
Figures from official agency statistics, last verified August 6, 2026.
A crew of 5, each applying, turns 50% into about 97%.
Start a poolSuccess rates by year
| Year | Lottery | Applications | Awarded | Success rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Seasonal + Day-before lotteries (two-year pilot average)NPS's figure from its two-year pilot program report. | — | — | ~50% |
| 2024 | Range by date8% on Memorial Day Weekend Sunday in the Day-before Lottery, up to 100% on random mid-week days. The same report also phrases the spread as "between 10% and 100%". | — | — | 8-100% |
Sources: NPS — Angels Landing Pilot Permit Program (two-year report) · NPS — Angels Landing Permits & Hiking
How to improve your Angels Landing odds
- 1
Avoid holidays and weekends. NPS puts Memorial Day Weekend Sunday at 8% in the Day-before Lottery, against 100% on random mid-week days.
- 2
Enter the Seasonal Lottery for your season and keep the Day-before Lottery as a second chance. They run independently, so losing one costs you nothing in the other.
- 3
Missed both lotteries? The day-before lottery opens every day at 12:01 a.m. and closes at 3 p.m. Mountain Time, so you can retry on each day of your trip.
The backup plan: cancellation alerts
About 50% odds means most applicants lose. But lottery winners cancel all season, and those dates quietly return to the booking system. PermitSnag watches Angels Landing continuously and alerts you within seconds when dates open, which is how most people who lose the lottery still get on the trail.
Angels Landing lottery questions
What are the odds of winning the Angels Landing lottery?
Angels Landing is the friendliest big-name lottery: NPS puts the overall odds across the pilot program's first two years at about 50%. The spread is enormous, from 8% on Memorial Day Weekend Sunday to 100% on random mid-week days.
How can I improve my Angels Landing lottery odds?
Avoid holidays and weekends. NPS puts Memorial Day Weekend Sunday at 8% in the Day-before Lottery, against 100% on random mid-week days. Enter the Seasonal Lottery for your season and keep the Day-before Lottery as a second chance. They run independently, so losing one costs you nothing in the other. Missed both lotteries? The day-before lottery opens every day at 12:01 a.m. and closes at 3 p.m. Mountain Time, so you can retry on each day of your trip.
What if I lose the Angels Landing lottery?
Cancellations. Lottery winners cancel or miss payment deadlines, and those dates return to the booking system throughout the season. Tracking Angels Landing with availability alerts is the standard post-lottery fallback.