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Selway Forecast: Odds of an Opening

Your odds of catching a Selway availability opening in the window ahead: a band grounded in 4 weeks of our own scan history, not a guess.

PermitCast forecast

Odds of an opening for Selway

Your chance of an opening in the window ahead, based on how often this permit has opened before.

Next 7 days

Moderate chance

35–45% chance

Next 14 days

Moderate chance

45–55% chance

Next 30 days

Good chance

55–65% chance

Based on 4 weeks of our scan history. Forecast last updated Oct 4, 2026.

Selway forecast questions

What are the odds of catching a Selway opening?

Right now our forecast puts the next 30 days at a good chance of catching at least one availability opening for Selway, based on 4 weeks of our own scan history. It's a band. See how we calculate it on the methodology page.

How is the Selway forecast calculated?

We split our scan history into non-overlapping windows and measure how often at least one opening was actually detected, then shrink that rate toward a pooled prior so a short history can't overstate its confidence. Every number comes from real scan history. Full math on /forecasts.

Is this a guarantee that Selway will open up?

No. It's a banded probability from historical scan data, not a prediction of a specific date and not a guarantee. Set an alert and we'll tell you the moment a real opening is detected.