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JMT Yosemite Cancellations: Drop History

Our scanner has recorded 35,033 availability changes for JMT Yosemite. Here's when they actually happened.

PermitCast forecast

Odds of an opening for JMT Yosemite

The odds that our scanner catches at least one availability opening for this permit in the window ahead — based on how often it actually has, not a guess.

Next 7 days

Moderate chance

35–45% chance

Next 14 days

Moderate chance

50–60% chance

Based on 8 weeks of our scan history. Forecast last updated Aug 24, 2026.

This permit covers more than one entry point. We show the forecast for the entry point with the most scan history, not a blended average — averaging different trailheads would be a made-up number.

Changes by month

Every month is a real count of scanner-detected availability changes for JMT Yosemite — not an estimate.

MonthChanges detected
February 20260
March 20260
April 20260
May 20260
June 20260
July 202634458
August 2026so far this month575

Last scanned Aug 24, 8:28 PM PDT. Counts respect our availability-change epoch (2026-07-03) — earlier scanner history isn't comparable and is excluded.

Best times to watch

Every opening our scanner has recorded for this permit — 190 of them — by day of week and time of day (Pacific time). An opening is a date that went from closed to open. Dates closing are not counted here, and they make up most of what an availability change is. Darker cells mean more openings landed in that window.

DayEarly morningMiddayEveningOvernight
Sun
13
3
2
4
Mon
15
0
6
8
Tue
10
5
5
6
Wed
14
7
4
5
Thu
11
11
5
3
Fri
9
5
5
6
Sat
12
7
4
5

JMT Yosemite drop report questions

How often does JMT Yosemite availability actually move?

Our scanner has recorded 35,033 availability changes for JMT Yosemite since it started tracking, broken down by month above. A change is any shift in the open-date set, so it counts dates closing as well as dates opening. Openings are counted separately, and on a different basis — 190 moments where at least one date went from closed to open. That is what the grid above plots, and it is why the two numbers do not add up to each other.

When is the best time to check for JMT Yosemite cancellations?

The grid above is built from every opening our scanner recorded for JMT Yosemite — dates that went from closed to open — bucketed by day of week and time of day in Pacific time. It's real detection history rather than a guess, and it's a rough guide rather than a guarantee.

How fast will I find out if a JMT Yosemite date opens up?

Paid plans are scanned about every minute with alerts within seconds. Free accounts are scanned hourly. Either way, PermitSnag catches the change — you don't have to refresh the page yourself.