Crab Lake & Cummings Lake (EP4) Forecast: Odds of an Opening
Odds for Crab Lake & Cummings Lake (EP4) are paused while it is off season or closed. They come back when it reopens.
PermitCast forecast
It is off-season. Daily permit quotas resume May 1
Crab Lake & Cummings Lake still requires a permit. You can get one on request without a lottery or daily quota.
We pause the odds while a permit is off season or closed, because there is nothing to catch. They come back when it reopens.
Crab Lake & Cummings Lake (EP4) forecast questions
What are the odds of catching a Crab Lake & Cummings Lake (EP4) opening?
Odds for Crab Lake & Cummings Lake (EP4) are paused right now because it is off season or closed. We show them again when it reopens.
How is the Crab Lake & Cummings Lake (EP4) forecast calculated?
We split our scan history into non-overlapping windows and measure how often at least one opening was actually detected, then shrink that rate toward a pooled prior so a short history can't overstate its confidence. Every number comes from real scan history. Full math on /forecasts.
Is this a guarantee that Crab Lake & Cummings Lake (EP4) will open up?
No. It's a banded probability from historical scan data, not a prediction of a specific date and not a guarantee.