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Overnight Forecast: Odds of an Opening

Odds for Overnight are paused while it is off season or closed. They come back when it reopens.

PermitCast forecast

It is off-season. No permit is needed until June 15

Central Cascades does not ask for a permit here until June 15.

We pause the odds while a permit is off season or closed, because there is nothing to catch. They come back when it reopens.

Overnight forecast questions

What are the odds of catching a Overnight opening?

Odds for Overnight are paused right now because it is off season or closed. We show them again when it reopens.

How is the Overnight forecast calculated?

We split our scan history into non-overlapping windows and measure how often at least one opening was actually detected, then shrink that rate toward a pooled prior so a short history can't overstate its confidence. Every number comes from real scan history. Full math on /forecasts.

Is this a guarantee that Overnight will open up?

No. It's a banded probability from historical scan data, not a prediction of a specific date and not a guarantee.